i-Delphi - Second Stage of Development

<body bgcolor="#86aad0"> <table border="0" cellpadding=5 cellspacing="0"> <tr> <td width=15%></td> <td width=10%></td> <td width="*"> <p align="center" valign="middle"> <font face="Arial" size="6"><b><img border="0" src="images/logd42.gif" width="229" height="42"></b></font> </td> <td width=10%></td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="top" align="left"> <font face="Arial" size="1"> <p><b>Click for desired page</b></p> <p><a href="xtour01.htm">Overview</a></p> <p><a href="xtour02.htm">Early history and core elements of the Delphi method</a></p> <p><b>Delphi's second stage of development</b></p> <p><a href="xtour04.htm">Delphi enhanced for the new millennium</a></p> <p><a href="xtour05.htm">Understanding the Delphi method</a></p> <p><a href="xtour06.htm">About the i-Delphi system</a></p> <p><a href="xtour07.htm">i-Delphi services</a></p> <p><a href="xtour08.htm">i-Delphi compared to other methods</a></p> <p><a href="xtour10.htm">For more information</a></p> <p><a href="index.asp">Return to home page</a></p> </font> </td> <td bgcolor="#FFFFFF">     </td> <td bgcolor="#FFFFFF" valign="top" align="left"> <p align="center" valign="top"> <br> <br> <font face="Arial" size="4"><b>Delphi's Second Stage of Development</b></font> <P><font face="Arial">Early Delphi projects used printed questionnaires, manual analyses, and the mails. Results were excellent, but from today's perspective the process was slow, cumbersome, and expensive.</font><P><font face="Arial">Starting in the 1970's, Delphi projects were undertaken in meetings, using new computer technologies. Participants entered their opinions secretly via small, hand-held terminals. A computer would tabulate responses and display them to the group. </font><P><font face="Arial">Those innovations provided both advantages and disadvantages. Face-to-face discussions facilitated exchange of ideas. The moderator could keep a group on focus and moving forward. Immediate feedback enabled multiple rounds to be compressed into a few meetings.</font><P><font face="Arial">On the other hand, only contributions entered via terminals could be anonymous. Views of individual panelists, if frankly expressed, would become obvious during discussions. That and other group pressures diminished the likelihood of full and honest participation by all panelists. Hand-held terminals had limited capabilities. Then as now, meetings required synchronizing schedules and significant expense for travel and lodging.</font> <div align="center"> <table border="0" cellpadding="5"> <tr><td> <div align="center"> <center> <table border="0" cellpadding="5"> <tr> </tr> <tr> <td bgcolor="#c0c0c0" valign="center" align="middle"><font color="#ff0000" size="3" face="Arial"> <A href="xtour04.htm">Next page</A> </font></td> </tr> </table> </center> </div> </td></tr> </table> <p align="left"><font face="Arial" size="1">  <br>Please note that this version of these pages was prepared for browsers which, like the one you're using now, lack frame-handling capability. Full access to this website and participation in <b>i-Delphi</b> projects require a frames-capable browser, such as a recent version of Internet Explorer or Netscape.</font> <p align="left">  <p align="left">  </div> </td> <td bgcolor="#FFFFFF">  </td> </tr> </table> </body>