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Overview
Early history and core elements of the Delphi method
Delphi's second stage of development
Delphi enhanced for the new millennium
Understanding the Delphi method
About the i-Delphi system
i-Delphi services
i-Delphi compared to other methods
For more information
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i-Delphi Compared to Other
Methods
i-Delphi
is a unique software-based system designed to implement the Delphi method
and to enhance it with many innovations enabled by the World
Wide Web. It is useful to note the
major distinctions between i-Delphi and other systems that may seem at
least superficially similar but are built on different principles.
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| 1. |
i-Delphi is not a technique for choosing between alternatives
by breaking them into components that can be voted on separately and then
combined mathematically to obtain a score for each alternative. That
technique has greatest applicability when issues can readily be separated
into discrete factors and there is general agreement that all important
influences have been identified. The Delphi method does not require meeting
those or any other conditions. |
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| 2. |
During
i-Delphi projects, views of participants are solicited and
tabulated. Delphi is not, however, an exercise in democracy or predicated on a
representative sample of any population. Delphi's
effectiveness depends on deliberately assembling non-representative panels
of individuals with unusual capacities to contribute.
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| 3. |
Outcomes of
i-Delphi projects are determined by the interaction of
panelists, not by establishing which views get the most votes. Consensus is
often reached during i-Delphi projects. However, it can be equally or more
valuable to uncover and consider the nature and extent of irreconcilable
disagreements between panelists. Reasons for extreme views are particularly
important.
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| 4. |
i-Delphi’s principal value is superior ability to arrive at the
best available solution to a particular problem. It is not used as a
managerial technique for promoting “buy-in” of eventual implementers by
including them in a deliberative process.
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| 5. |
i-Delphi enables
panelists to collaborate
without traditional constraints of time and place.
However, it is far more than a technique for holding meetings in cyberspace.
i-Delphi has a sharper focus: to address complex problems in a
proven process that includes defined objectives, carefully constituted
panels, flexible interaction between panelists, total anonymity of
contributions, avoidance of detrimental group dynamics, immediate feedback,
multiple iterations through an evolving set of questions and issues, and
facilitation by an experienced moderator.
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